In the Gyeonggi governor election, the biggest battleground in the June 1 local elections, public opinion poll results showed that People’s Power candidate Kim Eun-hye and Democratic Party candidate Kim Dong-yeon were fighting within the margin of error on the 22nd.
People Networks Research (PNR), commissioned by New Daily, surveyed 803 men and women over the age of 18 in Gyeonggi Province from the 20th to the 21st for ‘Governor candidate support’ and ‘Gyeonggi Superintendent of Education candidate support’. As a result, candidate Kim Eun-hye’s approval rating was 44.8%. , and Kim Dong-yeon was counted with 42.1%.
The gap between the two candidates was 2.7%p, with Candidate Eunhye Kim ahead of Candidate Dongyeon Kim within the margin of error (±3.5%p at 95% confidence level). Candidate Kang Yong-seok received 3.5% of the vote, Hwang Soon-shik 2.1%, Seo Tae-seong 0.8%, and Song Young-joo 0.8%.
In addition, 2.9% answered ‘not sure’ and 3.0% answered ‘don’t know’.
PNR Opinion Poll Kim Eun-hye’s ‘uptrend’ vs Kim Dong-yeon’s ‘stagnant’
As confirmed by the trend of public opinion polls by the same institution, the situation in the Gyeonggi governor election seems to be fluctuating as the election day approaches.
In the PNR poll for a virtual bilateral confrontation between the two candidates on April 23-24, Candidate Dong-yeon Kim (48.8%) surpassed Candidate Eun-hye Kim (41.0%) by 7.8%p, but in the opinion poll for a bilateral confrontation between the two candidates on the 6th and 7th of this month, candidate Kim Dong-yeon Candidate Eun-hye Kim recorded 47.9% and Candidate Eun-hye Kim 43.4%, narrowing the gap to 4.5%p, which was within the margin of error (±3.3%p). Analysts say that while Candidate Eun-hye Kim’s upward trend is clear, Candidate Dong-yeon Kim has stalled.
In this survey, support by region of residence was found in the southern Gyeonggi region (Suwon, Yongin, Anyang, Gunpo, Osan, Anseong, Uiwang, Gwacheon) with Kim Dong-yeon 37.8% and Kim Eun-hye 48.3%, and in the southwestern region (Hwaseong, Bucheon, Ansan, Pyeongtaek, Siheung, Gwangmyeong). Kim Dong-yeon was 47.3% and Kim Eun-hye 43.0%.
In the eastern region (Seongnam, Namyangju, Gwangju, Hanam, Icheon, Guri, Yeoju, Yangpyeong, Gapyeong) where candidate Kim Eun-hye was a member of the National Assembly, Kim Dong-yeon 44.9%, Kim Eun-hye 44.3%, and the northwestern region (Goyang, Gimpo, Paju, Uijeongbu) In Yangju, Pocheon, Dongducheon, and Yeoncheon), Kim Dong-yeon 38.4% and Kim Eun-hye 43.0% were surveyed.
In terms of gender, both men and women preferred Kim Eun-hye more. For men, Kim Dong-yeon 41.9%, Kim Eun-hye 44.9%, and women Kim Dong-yeon 42.4%, Kim Eun-hye 44.6%.
By age, Candidate Eun-hye Kim outperformed Candidate Dong-yeon Kim in the younger and older age groups. 18-20 years old Kim Dong-yeon 35.0% Kim Eun-hye 42.0%, 30-year-old Kim Dong-yeon 41.3% Kim Eun-hye 42.8%, 60 years or older Kim Dong-yeon 33.4%, Kim Eun-hye 60.4%.
On the other hand, Kim Dong-yeon 57.0% in their 40s, Kim Eun-hye 29.5%, Kim Dong-yeon 45.4% in their 50s, Kim Eun-hye 44.1%.
Gyeonggi Superintendent of Education Opinion Poll also leads ‘conservative’ Lim Tae-hee
In a survey on the support for the Gyeonggi Superintendent of Education candidate, Lim Tae-hee, the conservative candidate, had the upper hand. The survey was conducted on conservative candidate Lim Tae-hee and progressive candidate Sung Ki-seon.
As a result of the opinion poll, the approval rate of candidate Lim Tae-hee was 31.6%, ahead of Candidate Seong Ki-seon (22.6%). The gap between the two candidates was 9.0%p, with Candidate Taehee Lim ahead of Candidate Kiseon Sung outside the margin of error (±3.5%p at the 95% confidence level).
On the 10th, six candidates from the progressive camp, including Kim Geo-seong, Park Hyo-jin, Sung Ki-seon, Song Ju-myeong, Lee Jong-tae, and Lee Han-bok, were unified as Seong Ki-seon candidates. Nevertheless, the support rate for conservative candidates is higher.
The proportion of respondents who answered ‘not sure’ or ‘don’t know’ totaled 45.8%. As nearly half of the respondents who did not select a candidate for support, these are expected to be a variable.
This poll was conducted using a wired and wireless automatic answering phone survey method. The subjects were selected at the rate of 90% for mobile phone virtual number and 10% for landline RDD, and the response rate was 4.7%. For a detailed overview and details of the opinion poll, please refer to the website of the National Election Opinion Survey Deliberation Committee.
