ڸ, 2Ⱓ 1011ȸ ݸ λ û 硦 ô ´

̱ Fed (Fed) ڷ γ19 ħü 2Ⱓ ‘(0) رݸ’ å θ ν ȭ å Ȯ Ƽ.

EC (ECB) رݸ λ ǻ ‘Ӵ’ (ڱ) ô 밡.

2Ⱓ ִ 11ȸ λ ຸ

1516 ģ ģ ģ 0.000.25% ݸ 0.250.50% 0.25% ٰ ٰ ٰ. 2020 3 2Ⱓ ݸ å ̴ ̴.

U ǥ(dot plot) رݸ 1.9%, 2.8% ߴ.

رݸ ġ ѵ ǥ̴.

Rݸ 1.9% ȴ ٴ 6 FOMC ȸ Ź 0.25% Ʈ lѴ ٴ ǹѴ.

̴ 7ȸ, Ʈ Ʈ  (ȭ ȣ) 忡 Sh.

⿡ رݸ 2.8% ݸ λ 34ȸ – Ѵ.

2Ⱓ 1011ȸ λѴٴ , ̱⿡ ٴ ǹѴ.

20 ſ ſ, ̷ ó 2008 ݸ  2015 122016 12 ࿡  ñ ⺸ ̴. 3⿡ 9 λ ߴ.

Ρ ̼ ؼ ϱ 2004 62006 6 2Ⱓ 17 λ ¸Δ ̶ ִ.

⸦ Ø Ø ֽ θ

ȸ ׷ Ʈ ̾ ũ ڳ̽ ڳ̽ Ʈ “÷ ̼ǰ £” “ʳ ݸ λ ÷ ̼ ߷ ߷ Ѵ” ߴ.

ġ 뼭 ݸ λ ƴϳĴ ִ.

3.5 Ǿ ġ ġ 3.5% ߴ. رݸ ׷ øµ 忣 ū ȭ ̶ ̴.

2020 Ǿ ڷ γ19 hü 2020 4 14.7% ޵ ߴ ٰ ۳ 12 3.9% 4% ̸ ̱ 뵿 ” ƴϳĴ ̾߱ Ⱑ Դ. 3.5% Ǿ̴.

ߴ Ƽ Ƽ Ʈ Ʈ “Ǿ ̵, ̼ ̼ ؾ” ߴ ߴ.

ֳθƽ ֱ ְ Ȳ ȮǼ Ŀ ǥ ٰ .

20132014⿡ ݸ .

ݸ λ ⿡ ̾ ϴ ݸ ̹ ϸ 鼭 ‘Ӵ’ ô ִ.

׷ ׷, İ, JPü̽, ũƸ ޸ ī ֿ رݸ ø Ⱑ ݸ 0.25% Ʈ λ ߴ.

ECB, äǸ λ û

ֱ ECB ķ ‘¦ ‘ߴ.

ECB 10 ȭå ȸ ڻ α ׷ (APP) ä ñ⸦ 3б մ ߴ.

10 AAP .

ECB ƿ﷯ AAP ä ‘????'(some time) ִٰ رݸ øڴٰ 忡 ECB λ ǻ ޾Ƶ̰ ִ.

ECB ׵ رݸ λ ̶ Ǯ ​​ؿٰ رݸ λ ɼ ‘ſ’ (highly unlikely) ν λ ɼ ״.

嵵硡̿ Offset. ECB ȭå ȸ ǥ ECB ر Offset 0.5%Ʈ λ Offset.

Ư 游 λ ȹ ECB ̿ ̶ 〿 Ŀ.

ECB ߾ Ŭ ũƮ ״ ߾ 17 “μ 4β λ” 鼭 ÷ ̼ ġ ٽ ٸ λ ٰ ߴ.

B ???? ECB ݸ λ 븦 ϴ ̴.

״ 17 ä 䴴ϰ ȭå ȭ ٰ踦’ ð'(extra space) ̶ 䴴.

‘some time’̶ ̶ ǥ ϸ λ ǹ̷ ȴ ȴ.

̿ ռ ???? ޿ “ȭå ” ̶ ϸ رݸ λ Ȯ ִ.

رݸ 0% ǥϴ ???? ECB

⸦ Ø Ø ֽ θ

[մ]

s m.

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